Covid-19

[YankeePride1967]

Re: Covid-19

Japan has postponed the opening to their baseball season.

Thinking there is a possibility of a disruption to ours

[HelloNewman]

Re: Covid-19

Italy just closed.
If they stats I saw - 9163 infections - 463 dead are accurate, that's 5% mortality rate.

Yikes, Spanish flu 1918 was 2.5-3 percent. Of course that one hit a third of the Earth's population. A five percent rate at one third of current Earth population would be 125 million dead.

[Yankee Tripper]

Re: Covid-19

Yikes, Spanish flu 1918 was 2.5-3 percent. Of course that one hit a third of the Earth's population. A five percent rate at one third of current Earth population would be 125 million dead.

Worldwide it seems to be running around 3.4% with ~3800 deaths for ~110,000 cases.


Which would still be quite a lot. I think in Italy it's been higher because it's hit areas with a high concentration of senior populations which seem to have the highest mortality rate from the disease.

[Yankee Tripper]

Re: Covid-19

Just got a text from my wife that UC Berkeley will be closing classes until April it looks like.

[Texsahara]

Worldwide it seems to be running around 3.4% with ~3800 deaths for ~110,000 cases.


Which would still be quite a lot. I think in Italy it's been higher because it's hit areas with a high concentration of senior populations which seem to have the highest mortality rate from the disease.

I don't think enough people are being tested to actually have an accurate mortality rate. we know the numbers based on the people being tested but we don't know how many people are infected never get a test because it resolves they're young they're healthy.

[Yankee Tripper]

Re: Covid-19

I don't think enough people are being tested to actually have an accurate mortality rate. we know the numbers based on the people being tested but we don't know how many people are infected never get a test because it resolves they're young they're healthy.

And we don't know know how many have died that get classified as something else.

But you are correct I think the current "best guess estimated mortality rate" is in the 2.25%-3.25% range which would still be 1.5 to 2 times the regular flu.

But at least it's not a hemoragic fever class of disease like ebola that typical run with mortality rates between 23% and 88%. Like the Lassa fever outbreak currently in Nigeria.

[HelloNewman]

Re: Covid-19

By the way, I wasn't predicting 125 million dead, just doing a math exercise. Even at 2.5-3.5 percent that's 63M-88M if it were to have the reach of the 1918 pandemic (which I am reasonably hopeful it will not).

[Yankee Tripper]

Re: Covid-19

By the way, I wasn't predicting 125 million dead, just doing a math exercise. Even at 2.5-3.5 percent that's 63M-88M if it were to have the reach of the 1918 pandemic (which I am reasonably hopeful it will not).

Yeah I got what you were getting at. It's a nice way to illustrate how stupid the dude the other day was that said "Hey we should just give it to everyone all at once and get it over with so as to have minimal market disruption." I think he walked it back a few hours later.


I mean first of all it's a d-bag move, second it gives no time to develop vaccines and/or treatments, and third it would overwhelm the health care system to have so many sick all at once.

[JL25and3]

Re: Covid-19

I’m at the point of figuring, well, I have o die of something, sometime, it might as well be this as anything else. In any case, I don’t think I’ll be dying from lack of toilet paper.

[fredgmuggs]

Re: Covid-19

My son who does hospital administration was told today that all administrative staff will work from home until further notice.

[JL25and3]

My son who does hospital administration was told today that all administrative staff will work from home until further notice.

I’m considered essential staff, which I think is laughable.

[jlw1980]

Re: Covid-19

I’m considered essential staff, which I think is laughable.

We think that's laughable, too.

[jlw1980]

Re: Covid-19

Reportedly kids don't seem to be badly affected by the virus. This brings a lot of relief for me as a mom. If I die, I die, but my kids need to be OK.

[JL25and3]

We think that's laughable, too.

Clever.

[RhodyYanksFan]

Re: Covid-19

Didn't Biden get in a bit of trouble back in the day for calling LaGuardia third world?

Japan has postponed the opening to their baseball season.

At this point I wonder if the Olympics will happen this year...

Pearl Jam postponed their spring American tour.
Boston cancelled their St Pats parade.

The list goes on.