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I made an excel spreadsheet to calculate odds

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    I made an excel spreadsheet to calculate odds

    For a given Batting average and number of at bats (you put that in, up to .270)

    Over the course of those at bats, the:

    odds of getting exactly X hits
    odds of getting at least X hits
    odds of X hits or more
    Odds of batting Above X batting average
    Odds of batting Above X batting average

    I'm pretty sure I could do it for more than 170 AB my making multiple sheets and multiplying the odds, but I don't care enough to.



    edit: well crap. I can't attach it :lol: max is 50kb, and it's 100kb.

    If anyone wants to host it (or just wants a copy of it) PM me your email address :lol:
    Q: Who’s the guy on your roster that would have been overlooked if not for analytics? Cashman: Ronald Torreyes. He’s an analytical darling.

    #2
    Re: I made an excel spreadsheet to calculate odds

    http://stattrek.com/online-calculator/binomial.aspx can do that.

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      #3
      Re: I made an excel spreadsheet to calculate odds

      If it's just batting average to hits then just do the following lines in Excel or Google Spreadsheets

      =1-binom.dist(X number of hits-1, number of Abs, batting average, 1) for at least X hits
      =1-binom.dist(X number of hits, number of Abs, batting average, 0) for exactly X hits
      =1-binom.dist(roundup(ABs * X batting average)-1, number of Abs, true batting average, 1) for batting above a certain average given a true BA.

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