Recency bias triumphs again. Cashman wins.
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2021-2022 Off Season Thread
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Originally posted by Yankees1962 View PostWinning the WS is a crapshoot as I don't think many here thought the Braves were going to win it. I'm honestly surprised that they were able to handle the Dodgers and Astros relatively so easily.
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Last 10 years WS match up
Braves (Division winner) vs Astros (Division winner)
Dodgers (Division winner) vs Rays (Division winner)
Nationals (Wild card) vs Astros (Division winner)
Red Sox (Division winner) vs Dodgers (Division winner)
Astros (Division winner) vs Dodgers (Division winner)
Cubs (Division winner) vs Indians (Division winner)
Royals (Division winner) vs Mets (Division winner)
Giants (Wild card) vs Royals (Wild card)
Red Sox (Division winner) vs Cards (Division winner)
Giants (Division winner) vs Tigers (Division winner)
Only 3 out of 20 WS teams are wild card teams.
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Originally posted by kan_t View PostLast 10 years WS match up
Braves (Division winner) vs Astros (Division winner)
Dodgers (Division winner) vs Rays (Division winner)
Nationals (Wild card) vs Astros (Division winner)
Red Sox (Division winner) vs Dodgers (Division winner)
Astros (Division winner) vs Dodgers (Division winner)
Cubs (Division winner) vs Indians (Division winner)
Royals (Division winner) vs Mets (Division winner)
Giants (Wild card) vs Royals (Wild card)
Red Sox (Division winner) vs Cards (Division winner)
Giants (Division winner) vs Tigers (Division winner)
Only 3 out of 20 WS teams are wild card teams.
15% of WS teams are wildcard teams, which correlates to 20% of teams in the playoffs being WC teams. 80% of the teams are DW and 85% of the WS teams are DW. Complete crapshoot.
Reality: It's more like 25% (before second WC, and the two WC teams play each other to get in so in reality, it's 25%). Which means they're nearly half as likely to make it (15 is almost half of 25).
Q: Who’s the guy on your roster that would have been overlooked if not for analytics? Cashman: Ronald Torreyes. He’s an analytical darling.
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Originally posted by Yankees1962 View PostWinning the WS is a crapshoot as I don't think many here thought the Braves were going to win it. I'm honestly surprised that they were able to handle the Dodgers and Astros relatively so easily.
see more WS in the Bronx.
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Originally posted by Art Vanderlay View PostIn recent years we’ve seen the Rays, Dodgers, and now the Braves knock off the Astros. IMO it’s another indictment of Cashmsn that with all his resources he could not build a roster to knock off Houston. They knocked out the Yankees three times during this run.
Not so much here, but one look at Twitter and it’s clear the expectations are lower than they’ve ever been. When you see fans tweeting that the “Yankees can’t afford” a specific player, it’s all the proof you need."Glory is fleeting, but obscurity is forever." - Napoleon Bonaparte (1769-1821)
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Originally posted by primetime714 View Post
Great point, its easily observable how entitled he feels in those interviews and indignant reactions like that to what is a fairly harmlessly posed question (started off with "what do you say to those..."), show that. I feel fairly confident in assuming that not a single reporter in that room would dare ask the same question posed about Cashman himself unless they never planned to be in that room again or unless they cleared it with the Yankee PR team first. Even though the obvious follow-up question to his response on Hal would've been: "if its not the money what would you say to fans that question how its being spent?" Zero chance anyone would dare ask something reasonable like that.
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I don’t think Atlanta winning influences what the Yankees will do at all. They were going to be cheap and take half steps no matter what. Like some of you guys have laid out much better than I can, they always play both sides of every move and non-move so they are always in control of the narrative. They didn’t need 88 win Atlanta “getting hot at the right time” to justify what they are going to do, although that’s how their reporters will spin it for them.
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Originally posted by Art Vanderlay View PostIn recent years we’ve seen the Rays, Dodgers, and now the Braves knock off the Astros. IMO it’s another indictment of Cashmsn that with all his resources he could not build a roster to knock off Houston. They knocked out the Yankees three times during this run.
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Originally posted by Yankees1962 View PostWinning the WS is a crapshoot as I don't think many here thought the Braves were going to win it. I'm honestly surprised that they were able to handle the Dodgers and Astros relatively so easily.More people have walked on the moon than have scored an earned run off of Mariano Rivera in the postseason.
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